Apple Valley, CA vs San Rafael, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)
A side-by-side look at reported crime in Apple Valley and San Rafael, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.
San Rafael is the safer city
San Rafael scores 66/100 (grade C) versus 65/100 (grade C) for Apple Valley — a 1-point gap. Apple Valley's violent-crime rate is +33% vs San Rafael. Across the 8 offense categories, San Rafael has the lower rate in 2.
Apple Valley, CA
Crime Index
- Population
- 74,823
- Violent / 100k
- 485
- Property / 100k
- 1,375
- In California
- #115 of 175
San Rafael, CA
SaferCrime Index
- Population
- 59,670
- Violent / 100k
- 365
- Property / 100k
- 2,041
- In California
- #113 of 175
Crime rates head-to-head
| Metric | Apple Valley | San Rafael | US average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Index (higher = safer) | 65C | 66C | 73C |
| Violent crime /100k | 485 | 365 | 315 |
| Property crime /100k | 1,375 | 2,041 | 1,487 |
| Homicide /100k | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| Total reported /100k | 1,860 | 2,407 | 1,802 |
Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.
By offense
Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.
| Offense | Apple Valley | San Rafael |
|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Rape | 54.8 | 57 |
| Robbery | 73.5 | 93.8 |
| Aggravated assault | 356 | 213 |
| Burglary | 214 | 183 |
| Larceny-theft | 934 | 1,505 |
| Motor vehicle theft | 215 | 308 |
| Arson | 12 | 45.2 |
Crime trends
Apple Valley
San Rafael
Frequently asked questions
Is Apple Valley or San Rafael safer?
Which has more violent crime, Apple Valley or San Rafael?
What are the odds of violent crime in Apple Valley vs San Rafael?
No area has zero risk
A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.
Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →
Protecting yourself in Apple Valley & San Rafael
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