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Arcadia, CA vs Watsonville, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Arcadia and Watsonville, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Watsonville is the safer city

Watsonville scores 72/100 (grade C) versus 71/100 (grade C) for Arcadia — a 1-point gap. Arcadia's violent-crime rate is 0.5× Watsonville. Across the 8 offense categories, Watsonville has the lower rate in 3.

Arcadia, CA

71/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
53,974
Violent / 100k
196
Property / 100k
2,438
In California
#85 of 175
Full Arcadia crime report

Watsonville, CA

Safer
72/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
51,037
Violent / 100k
415
Property / 100k
991
In California
#84 of 175
Full Watsonville crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricArcadiaWatsonvilleUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)71C72C73C
Violent crime /100k196415315
Property crime /100k2,4389911,487
Homicide /100k1.924.1
Total reported /100k2,6351,4071,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseArcadiaWatsonville
Homicide1.92
Rape16.750.9
Robbery92.682.3
Aggravated assault85.2280
Burglary53794
Larceny-theft1,714651
Motor vehicle theft182237
Arson5.69.8

Crime trends

Arcadia

Reported crime in Arcadia is down 7% since 2021.
3,5542,9942,433202120222023202420252,8192,635
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Watsonville

Reported crime in Watsonville is down 43% since 2022.
2,7591,9351,11120222023202420252,4631,407
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Arcadia or Watsonville safer?
Watsonville is safer. It scores 72/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 71/100 for Arcadia — a 1-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Arcadia or Watsonville?
Arcadia's violent-crime rate is 196 per 100k; Watsonville's is 415 per 100k for 2025. Arcadia has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Arcadia vs Watsonville?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 241 annual chance of a violent crime in Watsonville and 1 in 509 in Arcadia, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near ArcadiaGet quotes from security companies near Watsonville

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →