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Avondale, AZ vs Mesa, AZ: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Avondale and Mesa, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Mesa is the safer city

Mesa scores 69/100 (grade C) versus 66/100 (grade C) for Avondale — a 3-point gap. Avondale's violent-crime rate is -19% vs Mesa. Across the 8 offense categories, Mesa has the lower rate in 5.

Avondale, AZ

66/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
98,457
Violent / 100k
341
Property / 100k
2,248
In Arizona
#16 of 20
Full Avondale crime report

Mesa, AZ

Safer
69/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
519,990
Violent / 100k
422
Property / 100k
1,304
In Arizona
#14 of 20
Full Mesa crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricAvondaleMesaUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)66C69C73C
Violent crime /100k341422315
Property crime /100k2,2481,3041,487
Homicide /100k3.13.54.1
Total reported /100k2,5891,7261,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseAvondaleMesa
Homicide33.5
Rape44.730
Robbery42.747.3
Aggravated assault251341
Burglary188168
Larceny-theft1,816969
Motor vehicle theft234160
Arson10.26.2

Crime trends

Avondale

Reported crime in Avondale is down 36% since 2021.
4,4793,3272,175202120222023202420254,0662,589
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Mesa

Reported crime in Mesa is down 28% since 2021.
2,5812,0601,540202120222023202420252,3941,726
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Avondale or Mesa safer?
Mesa is safer. It scores 69/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 66/100 for Avondale — a 3-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Avondale or Mesa?
Avondale's violent-crime rate is 341 per 100k; Mesa's is 422 per 100k for 2025. Avondale has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Avondale vs Mesa?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 237 annual chance of a violent crime in Mesa and 1 in 293 in Avondale, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near AvondaleGet quotes from security companies near Mesa

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →