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Baldwin Park, CA vs Watsonville, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Baldwin Park and Watsonville, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Watsonville is the safer city

Watsonville scores 72/100 (grade C) versus 71/100 (grade C) for Baldwin Park — a 1-point gap. Baldwin Park's violent-crime rate is -12% vs Watsonville. Across the 8 offense categories, Watsonville has the lower rate in 5.

Baldwin Park, CA

71/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
68,586
Violent / 100k
367
Property / 100k
1,317
In California
#86 of 175
Full Baldwin Park crime report

Watsonville, CA

Safer
72/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
51,037
Violent / 100k
415
Property / 100k
991
In California
#84 of 175
Full Watsonville crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricBaldwin ParkWatsonvilleUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)71C72C73C
Violent crime /100k367415315
Property crime /100k1,3179911,487
Homicide /100k7.324.1
Total reported /100k1,6841,4071,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseBaldwin ParkWatsonville
Homicide7.32
Rape20.450.9
Robbery75.882.3
Aggravated assault264280
Burglary20694
Larceny-theft862651
Motor vehicle theft239237
Arson10.29.8

Crime trends

Baldwin Park

Reported crime in Baldwin Park is up 43% since 2021.
2,5661,718871202120222023202420251,1751,684
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Watsonville

Reported crime in Watsonville is down 43% since 2022.
2,7591,9351,11120222023202420252,4631,407
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Baldwin Park or Watsonville safer?
Watsonville is safer. It scores 72/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 71/100 for Baldwin Park — a 1-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Baldwin Park or Watsonville?
Baldwin Park's violent-crime rate is 367 per 100k; Watsonville's is 415 per 100k for 2025. Baldwin Park has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Baldwin Park vs Watsonville?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 241 annual chance of a violent crime in Watsonville and 1 in 272 in Baldwin Park, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near Baldwin ParkGet quotes from security companies near Watsonville

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →