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Casa Grande, AZ vs Mesa, AZ: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Casa Grande and Mesa, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Casa Grande is the safer city

Casa Grande scores 70/100 (grade C) versus 69/100 (grade C) for Mesa — a 1-point gap. Mesa's violent-crime rate is in line with Casa Grande. Across the 8 offense categories, Casa Grande has the lower rate in 5.

Casa Grande, AZ

Safer
70/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
73,225
Violent / 100k
436
Property / 100k
1,119
In Arizona
#13 of 20
Full Casa Grande crime report

Mesa, AZ

69/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
519,990
Violent / 100k
422
Property / 100k
1,304
In Arizona
#14 of 20
Full Mesa crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricCasa GrandeMesaUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)70C69C73C
Violent crime /100k436422315
Property crime /100k1,1191,3041,487
Homicide /100k03.54.1
Total reported /100k1,5541,7261,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseCasa GrandeMesa
Homicide03.5
Rape34.130
Robbery36.947.3
Aggravated assault365341
Burglary147168
Larceny-theft840969
Motor vehicle theft119160
Arson12.36.2

Crime trends

Casa Grande

Reported crime in Casa Grande is down 43% since 2021.
3,7892,4271,065202120222023202420252,7251,554
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Mesa

Reported crime in Mesa is down 28% since 2021.
2,5812,0601,540202120222023202420252,3941,726
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Casa Grande or Mesa safer?
Casa Grande is safer. It scores 70/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 69/100 for Mesa — a 1-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Casa Grande or Mesa?
Casa Grande's violent-crime rate is 436 per 100k; Mesa's is 422 per 100k for 2025. Mesa has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Casa Grande vs Mesa?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 230 annual chance of a violent crime in Casa Grande and 1 in 237 in Mesa, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near Casa GrandeGet quotes from security companies near Mesa

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →