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Chapel Hill, NC vs Jacksonville, NC: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Chapel Hill and Jacksonville, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Chapel Hill is the safer city

Chapel Hill scores 83/100 (grade B) versus 76/100 (grade B) for Jacksonville — a 7-point gap. Jacksonville's violent-crime rate is 2.6× Chapel Hill. Across the 8 offense categories, Chapel Hill has the lower rate in 5.

Chapel Hill, NC

Safer
83/100
BSafe

Crime Index

Population
65,938
Violent / 100k
86.4
Property / 100k
1,774
In North Carolina
#6 of 21
Full Chapel Hill crime report

Jacksonville, NC

76/100
BSafe

Crime Index

Population
70,256
Violent / 100k
228
Property / 100k
1,725
In North Carolina
#8 of 21
Full Jacksonville crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricChapel HillJacksonvilleUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)83B76B73C
Violent crime /100k86.4228315
Property crime /100k1,7741,7251,487
Homicide /100k08.54.1
Total reported /100k1,8611,9531,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseChapel HillJacksonville
Homicide08.5
Rape12.134.2
Robbery27.322.8
Aggravated assault47162
Burglary211167
Larceny-theft1,4291,463
Motor vehicle theft13285.4
Arson310

Crime trends

Chapel Hill

Reported crime in Chapel Hill is down 15% since 2021.
3,0282,3171,605202120222023202420252,1851,861
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Jacksonville

Reported crime in Jacksonville is down 11% since 2021.
2,5312,1791,826202120222023202420252,2031,953
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Chapel Hill or Jacksonville safer?
Chapel Hill is safer. It scores 83/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 76/100 for Jacksonville — a 7-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Chapel Hill or Jacksonville?
Chapel Hill's violent-crime rate is 86.4 per 100k; Jacksonville's is 228 per 100k for 2025. Chapel Hill has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Chapel Hill vs Jacksonville?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 1,157 annual chance of a violent crime in Chapel Hill and 1 in 439 in Jacksonville, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near Chapel HillSee verified security companies in Jacksonville

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →