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Manteca, CA vs Moreno Valley, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Manteca and Moreno Valley, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Manteca and Moreno Valley are neck and neck

Both score 73/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: Manteca wins 4 of 8 offense categories, Moreno Valley wins 4.

Manteca, CA

73/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
97,039
Violent / 100k
335
Property / 100k
1,347
In California
#74 of 175
Full Manteca crime report

Moreno Valley, CA

73/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
215,203
Violent / 100k
300
Property / 100k
1,645
In California
#76 of 175
Full Moreno Valley crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricMantecaMoreno ValleyUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)73C73C73C
Violent crime /100k335300315
Property crime /100k1,3471,6451,487
Homicide /100k11.94.1
Total reported /100k1,6821,9451,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseMantecaMoreno Valley
Homicide11.9
Rape30.95.6
Robbery53.662.7
Aggravated assault249230
Burglary150185
Larceny-theft9241,271
Motor vehicle theft233186
Arson39.23.3

Crime trends

Manteca

Reported crime in Manteca is down 23% since 2022.
2,3491,9421,53620222023202420252,1891,682
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Moreno Valley

Reported crime in Moreno Valley is down 19% since 2022.
2,5462,1771,80820222023202420252,4131,945
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Manteca or Moreno Valley safer?
Manteca and Moreno Valley have an identical Crime Index of 73/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, Manteca or Moreno Valley?
Manteca's violent-crime rate is 335 per 100k; Moreno Valley's is 300 per 100k for 2025. Moreno Valley has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Manteca vs Moreno Valley?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 299 annual chance of a violent crime in Manteca and 1 in 334 in Moreno Valley, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near MantecaSee verified security companies in Moreno Valley

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →