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Merced, CA vs Sacramento, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Merced and Sacramento, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Merced and Sacramento are neck and neck

Both score 46/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: Merced wins 5 of 8 offense categories, Sacramento wins 3.

Merced, CA

46/100
DElevated risk

Crime Index

Population
98,482
Violent / 100k
699
Property / 100k
2,505
In California
#162 of 175
Full Merced crime report

Sacramento, CA

46/100
DElevated risk

Crime Index

Population
538,389
Violent / 100k
720
Property / 100k
2,301
In California
#163 of 175
Full Sacramento crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricMercedSacramentoUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)46D46D73C
Violent crime /100k699720315
Property crime /100k2,5052,3011,487
Homicide /100k6.17.84.1
Total reported /100k3,2043,0211,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseMercedSacramento
Homicide6.17.8
Rape73.127.9
Robbery122165
Aggravated assault498520
Burglary383403
Larceny-theft1,7411,456
Motor vehicle theft295417
Arson85.324.7

Crime trends

Merced

Reported crime in Merced is down 14% since 2022.
3,8753,4663,05720222023202420253,7283,204
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Sacramento

Reported crime in Sacramento is down 27% since 2022.
4,4783,5902,70220222023202420254,1593,021
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Merced or Sacramento safer?
Merced and Sacramento have an identical Crime Index of 46/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, Merced or Sacramento?
Merced's violent-crime rate is 699 per 100k; Sacramento's is 720 per 100k for 2025. Merced has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Merced vs Sacramento?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 143 annual chance of a violent crime in Merced and 1 in 139 in Sacramento, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near MercedSee verified security companies in Sacramento

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →