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Mesa, AZ vs Tucson, AZ: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Mesa and Tucson, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Mesa is the safer city

Mesa scores 69/100 (grade C) versus 68/100 (grade C) for Tucson — a 1-point gap. Tucson's violent-crime rate is -16% vs Mesa. Across the 8 offense categories, Mesa has the lower rate in 4.

Mesa, AZ

Safer
69/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
519,990
Violent / 100k
422
Property / 100k
1,304
In Arizona
#14 of 20
Full Mesa crime report

Tucson, AZ

68/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
556,898
Violent / 100k
355
Property / 100k
2,043
In Arizona
#15 of 20
Full Tucson crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricMesaTucsonUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)69C68C73C
Violent crime /100k422355315
Property crime /100k1,3042,0431,487
Homicide /100k3.56.84.1
Total reported /100k1,7262,3981,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseMesaTucson
Homicide3.56.8
Rape3016
Robbery47.342.4
Aggravated assault341290
Burglary168106
Larceny-theft9691,716
Motor vehicle theft160212
Arson6.29.3

Crime trends

Mesa

Reported crime in Mesa is down 28% since 2021.
2,5812,0601,540202120222023202420252,3941,726
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Tucson

Reported crime in Tucson is down 28% since 2022.
4,5843,2521,92020222023202420253,3502,398
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Mesa or Tucson safer?
Mesa is safer. It scores 69/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index versus 68/100 for Tucson — a 1-point gap (higher = safer) for 2025.
Which has more violent crime, Mesa or Tucson?
Mesa's violent-crime rate is 422 per 100k; Tucson's is 355 per 100k for 2025. Tucson has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Mesa vs Tucson?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 237 annual chance of a violent crime in Mesa and 1 in 282 in Tucson, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near MesaGet quotes from security companies near Tucson

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →