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Novato, CA vs Tracy, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Novato and Tracy, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Novato and Tracy are neck and neck

Both score 80/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: Novato wins 5 of 8 offense categories, Tracy wins 3.

Novato, CA

80/100
BSafe

Crime Index

Population
52,105
Violent / 100k
211
Property / 100k
1,334
In California
#42 of 175
Full Novato crime report

Tracy, CA

80/100
BSafe

Crime Index

Population
101,835
Violent / 100k
194
Property / 100k
1,342
In California
#43 of 175
Full Tracy crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricNovatoTracyUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)80B80B73C
Violent crime /100k211194315
Property crime /100k1,3341,3421,487
Homicide /100k024.1
Total reported /100k1,5451,5371,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseNovatoTracy
Homicide02
Rape19.225.5
Robbery42.251.1
Aggravated assault150116
Burglary59.5114
Larceny-theft1,0811,024
Motor vehicle theft165196
Arson28.87.9

Crime trends

Novato

2,5891,2950202120222023202420251631,545
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Tracy

Reported crime in Tracy is down 6% since 2021.
2,0491,7371,425202120222023202420251,6271,537
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Novato or Tracy safer?
Novato and Tracy have an identical Crime Index of 80/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, Novato or Tracy?
Novato's violent-crime rate is 211 per 100k; Tracy's is 194 per 100k for 2025. Tracy has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Novato vs Tracy?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 474 annual chance of a violent crime in Novato and 1 in 514 in Tracy, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near NovatoGet quotes from security companies near Tracy

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →