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San Rafael, CA vs Visalia, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in San Rafael and Visalia, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

San Rafael and Visalia are neck and neck

Both score 66/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: San Rafael wins 4 of 8 offense categories, Visalia wins 4.

San Rafael, CA

66/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
59,670
Violent / 100k
365
Property / 100k
2,041
In California
#113 of 175
Full San Rafael crime report

Visalia, CA

66/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
147,414
Violent / 100k
415
Property / 100k
1,762
In California
#114 of 175
Full Visalia crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricSan RafaelVisaliaUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)66C66C73C
Violent crime /100k365415315
Property crime /100k2,0411,7621,487
Homicide /100k1.74.14.1
Total reported /100k2,4072,1761,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseSan RafaelVisalia
Homicide1.74.1
Rape5773.9
Robbery93.868.5
Aggravated assault213268
Burglary183205
Larceny-theft1,5051,326
Motor vehicle theft308216
Arson45.215.6

Crime trends

San Rafael

4,5332,2660202120222023202420253162,407
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Visalia

Reported crime in Visalia is down 27% since 2022.
3,1912,5721,95420222023202420252,9692,176
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is San Rafael or Visalia safer?
San Rafael and Visalia have an identical Crime Index of 66/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, San Rafael or Visalia?
San Rafael's violent-crime rate is 365 per 100k; Visalia's is 415 per 100k for 2025. San Rafael has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in San Rafael vs Visalia?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 274 annual chance of a violent crime in San Rafael and 1 in 241 in Visalia, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near San RafaelSee verified security companies in Visalia

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →