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Turlock, CA vs Watsonville, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Turlock and Watsonville, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Turlock and Watsonville are neck and neck

Both score 72/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: Turlock wins 3 of 8 offense categories, Watsonville wins 5.

Turlock, CA

72/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
72,919
Violent / 100k
357
Property / 100k
1,310
In California
#82 of 175
Full Turlock crime report

Watsonville, CA

72/100
CModerate risk

Crime Index

Population
51,037
Violent / 100k
415
Property / 100k
991
In California
#84 of 175
Full Watsonville crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricTurlockWatsonvilleUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)72C72C73C
Violent crime /100k357415315
Property crime /100k1,3109911,487
Homicide /100k2.724.1
Total reported /100k1,6661,4071,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseTurlockWatsonville
Homicide2.72
Rape4850.9
Robbery9682.3
Aggravated assault210280
Burglary12294
Larceny-theft992651
Motor vehicle theft182237
Arson13.79.8

Crime trends

Turlock

Reported crime in Turlock is down 53% since 2022.
4,0502,5971,14520222023202420253,5281,666
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Watsonville

Reported crime in Watsonville is down 43% since 2022.
2,7591,9351,11120222023202420252,4631,407
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Turlock or Watsonville safer?
Turlock and Watsonville have an identical Crime Index of 72/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, Turlock or Watsonville?
Turlock's violent-crime rate is 357 per 100k; Watsonville's is 415 per 100k for 2025. Turlock has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Turlock vs Watsonville?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 280 annual chance of a violent crime in Turlock and 1 in 241 in Watsonville, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
Get quotes from security companies near TurlockGet quotes from security companies near Watsonville

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →