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Crime Rate in Buffalo, NY (2025)

The FBI-based Crime Index for Buffalo, built from FBI Crime Data Explorer reports for 2025. Scores run 0–100 (higher = safer).

37/100
EHigh risk

Crime Index

Population: 276,384
Data year: 2025 · FBI Crime Data Explorer
#1 most dangerous of 15 cities in New York
100% of population covered by reporting agencies · updated July 8, 2026

Is Buffalo safe?

For 2025, Buffalo scores 37/100 on our FBI-based Crime Index — a grade E (high risk), which means it reports more crime than the typical US city. Its violent-crime rate of 729 per 100k is 2.3× the US average, and arson stands out most: 92 reported in 2025, 3.5× the national rate. Reported crime has held roughly flat since 2021. It ranks #1 most dangerous of 15 cities in New York.

Violent crime
729/100k
2.3× US avg
2.0× NY avg
Property crime
3,447/100k
2.3× US avg
2.2× NY avg
Homicide
10.5/100k
2.5× US avg
4.6× NY avg
Total reported
4,176/100k
2.3× US avg
2.2× NY avg
7%

Safer than 7% of the 759 US cities we track

1 in 137

Annual odds of a reported violent crime per resident

1 in 29

Annual odds of a reported property crime per resident

Odds are the reported 2025 rate expressed per resident, city-wide — your actual risk varies by neighborhood, time, and situation.

Crime trend in Buffalo

Reported crime in Buffalo has held roughly flat since 2021.
5,3134,5733,832202120222023202420254,1184,176
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Reported crime by offense

Each bar is scaled to the US average for that offense — the dashed line marks . Bars past it run above the national norm; hover a row for detail.

Violent crime

Homicideanchor
2.5× US
10.5
29 total
Rape
+35% US
47.4
131 total
Robbery
3.3× US
160
442 total
Aggravated assault
2.2× US
511
1,412 total

Property crime

Burglary
2.4× US
440
1,216 total
Larceny-theft
2.2× US
2,389
6,603 total
Motor vehicle theft
3.1× US
585
1,617 total
Arson
3.5× US
33.3
92 total

Rates shown are per 100,000 residents.

Homicide rate

10.49per 100k

Homicide anchors the Crime Index — see methodology.

+155% higher than the national homicide rate of 4.12 per 100k.

How Buffalo compares

Buffalo against the New York and US averages for 2025.

MetricBuffaloNew YorkUnited States
Crime Index (higher = safer)37E71C73C
Violent crime /100k729362315
Property crime /100k3,4471,5371,487
Homicide /100k10.52.34.1
Total reported /100k4,1761,8991,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

Buffalo is high risk — take action

See verified security companies in Buffalo

Neighborhood breakdown

Buffalo crime varies sharply by neighborhood — see the local breakdown.

Protecting yourself in Buffalo

Worried about the numbers above? Compare local providers, estimate costs, and explore the right kind of coverage.

Security guides for Buffalo

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →

Compare Buffalo to other New York cities

Ranked by Crime Index — closest to Buffalo.

Head-to-head comparisons

Frequently asked questions

Is Buffalo safe?
Buffalo has a Crime Index of 37 out of 100 (grade E — high risk) for 2025, based on FBI-reported violent and property crime rates relative to other US cities. That ranks it #15 of 15 cities in New York by reported crime. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.
What does a "E" grade mean?
A "High risk" grade means Buffalo's severity-weighted crime rate falls in the 30–44 range on the Crime Index, out of a national distribution of every city we track for 2025. Grades are calibrated against the national distribution of every area we track for the same data year — they describe an area's relative standing, not an absolute promise. A "Very safe" grade means an area sits among the lowest-crime places in the country with usable data, not that nothing ever happens there.
What is the most common crime in Buffalo?
The most frequently reported offense in Buffalo for 2025 was larceny-theft, with 6,603 reported incidents. See the full breakdown by offense above for how violent and property crime compare to the US average.
Is crime in Buffalo getting better or worse?
Reported crime in Buffalo has held roughly flat since 2021 (within about ±3%). Year-to-year figures can shift with FBI reporting changes, not just real crime.
What are the odds of being a victim of crime in Buffalo?
Based on 2025 reported rates, Buffalo residents face roughly a 1 in 137 annual chance of a violent crime and about 1 in 29 for a property crime, calculated city-wide. Your individual risk varies widely by neighborhood, time of day, and circumstances.
How does Buffalo compare to other US cities?
Buffalo is safer than 7% of the 759 US cities we track for 2025, ranked by Crime Index. Its violent-crime rate is 2.0× the New York average and its property-crime rate is 2.2× the New York average.
Does reported crime equal real crime?
No. National research on the dark figure of crime estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime are never reported to police, so any index built on official statistics — including this one — measures a floor on real crime, not a ceiling. That's part of why the index leans most heavily on homicide, the category with the smallest reporting gap.
Back to Crime Rate in New York