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Modesto, CA vs Riverside, CA: Crime Rate Comparison (2025)

A side-by-side look at reported crime in Modesto and Riverside, on the FBI-based Crime Index (0–100, higher = safer) for 2025.

Modesto and Riverside are neck and neck

Both score 57/100 on the Crime Index for 2025. The difference is in the mix: Modesto wins 5 of 8 offense categories, Riverside wins 3.

Modesto, CA

57/100
DElevated risk

Crime Index

Population
221,064
Violent / 100k
584
Property / 100k
1,890
In California
#139 of 175
Full Modesto crime report

Riverside, CA

57/100
DElevated risk

Crime Index

Population
325,858
Violent / 100k
534
Property / 100k
2,179
In California
#140 of 175
Full Riverside crime report

Crime rates head-to-head

MetricModestoRiversideUS average
Crime Index (higher = safer)57D57D73C
Violent crime /100k584534315
Property crime /100k1,8902,1791,487
Homicide /100k044.1
Total reported /100k2,4742,7131,802

Grade shown per index band (88–100 = A … 0–29 = F). Rates are reported offenses per 100,000 residents.

By offense

Rate per 100,000 residents — the lower (safer) city is highlighted.

OffenseModestoRiverside
Homicide04
Rape47.540.5
Robbery87.896.1
Aggravated assault449393
Burglary189271
Larceny-theft1,4781,572
Motor vehicle theft181315
Arson42.121.2

Crime trends

Modesto

4,1222,0610202120222023202420251.42,474
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Riverside

5,0692,5340202120222023202420254.52,713
Reported crime per 100,000 residents · hover a year for detail

Frequently asked questions

Is Modesto or Riverside safer?
Modesto and Riverside have an identical Crime Index of 57/100 for 2025, so they rank as equally safe overall — though the mix of violent versus property crime differs. See the offense breakdown above.
Which has more violent crime, Modesto or Riverside?
Modesto's violent-crime rate is 584 per 100k; Riverside's is 534 per 100k for 2025. Riverside has the lower violent-crime rate.
What are the odds of violent crime in Modesto vs Riverside?
Based on 2025 reported rates, residents face roughly a 1 in 171 annual chance of a violent crime in Modesto and 1 in 187 in Riverside, city-wide. Individual risk varies by neighborhood.
See verified security companies in ModestoSee verified security companies in Riverside

No area has zero risk

A high Crime Index score means lower reported crime relative to other US cities — it is not a guarantee of safety. Reported crime is not the same as actual crime. Research on the gap between crime that occurs and crime that gets reported to police — often called the "dark figure" of crime — estimates that roughly 40% of violent crime and about a third of property crime go unreported each year. Every index built on official statistics, including this one, necessarily undercounts real crime. That gap is exactly why homicide — the offense with the smallest dark figure — anchors the calculation instead of a more commonly reported but less reliable category like theft.

Scores on this page reflect FBI-reported data for 2025. See the full methodology →